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Post by Deva Chanter on May 30, 2020 13:31:26 GMT
Fair does, it must be pretty galling being a Tory at the best of times but imagine being one right now and knowing you'd voted for this - I don't think I could live with myself. This article is absolutely damning - Risk in UK lockdown easing too soon, warn scientistsOne of the things I remember most vividly about all of this were the self-righteous, riddled with pity 'oh poor Iran' articles littered across our media when the virus first hit Tehran. Oh it's a poor country they said, poor medical facilities, people living in close proximity to each other. And yet here we are, a couple of months later, massively outperforming them in the league table of death.
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Post by Lobster on May 30, 2020 13:36:24 GMT
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May 30, 2020 13:36:51 GMT
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Post by scotty on May 30, 2020 13:36:51 GMT
Does anyone think that the scientists have covered themselves in glory?
They don't know if you can't catch it twice. Why not? Can't they find anyone in the entire world who has already had it, been exposed again and caught it or not caught it a second time?
They can't say if children can pass it to other children. Why not? Like the example above you can't prove a negative (unless you expose every single child in the world to every other child) but they should have enough information by now. We're hardly talking about something so rare that they can't find candidates for testing.
The initial advice was to wash your hands for 20 seconds and everything will be OK. Remember those celebrity YouTube videos as they sing Happy Birthday? Maybe they got this a little wrong.
Masks - are they beneficial or not? It appears that the jury's still out on that one. Why?
They ran a pandemic simulation in the UK in 2016 and from what I can see they learned nothing.
It's OK to blame the government, but why didn't our hospitals and PCTs have their own plans?
Can you catch it from a passing cyclist? They can't confirm either way.
Why did hospitals kick people out to care homes without testing them? The government didn't tell them to do this and it is possibly the most catastrophic mistake made so far.
I understand that they're being guarded and don't want to talk in absolutes, but some of it is beyond absurd now. There's enough information to say that children are safe but they won't stick their necks out and say it (again because you can't prove it, and never will be able to).
Yes the government has a lot to answer for. But also the scientific and medical communities are big boys and should be capable of taking the initiative without being told by governments
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May 30, 2020 13:46:16 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 13:46:16 GMT
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Post by Deva Chanter on May 30, 2020 13:49:46 GMT
Does anyone think that the scientists have covered themselves in glory? They don't know if you can't catch it twice. Why not? Can't they find anyone in the entire world who has already had it, been exposed again and caught it or not caught it a second time? Yes they do - there have been plenty of cases of people being re-infected.They can't say if children can pass it to other children. Why not? Like the example above you can't prove a negative (unless you expose every single child in the world to every other child) but they should have enough information by now. We're hardly talking about something so rare that they can't find candidates for testing. As far as I am aware, they've said that there is a risk, albeit a much smaller one. The initial advice was to wash your hands for 20 seconds and everything will be OK. Remember those celebrity YouTube videos as they sing Happy Birthday? Maybe they got this a little wrong. Suggesting this was the only advice given is patently false. I'd be delighted for you to source one single scientist who said, as you quote 'wash your hands for twenty seconds AND EVERYTHING WILL BE OKAY". Secondly, this advice is still in place and still thought to be very effective. Masks - are they beneficial or not? It appears that the jury's still out on that one. Why? This is clearly up for debate in the scientific community. They ran a pandemic simulation in the UK in 2016 and from what I can see they learned nothing. The results of this exercise stated: "that the pandemic would cause the country's health system to collapse from a lack of resources, with Sally Davies, the Chief Medical Officer at the time, stating that a lack of medical ventilators and the logistics of disposal of dead bodies were serious problems." Whose responsibility was it to provide enough funding to ensure that this risk could be mitigated? The governments. And they cut it to the bone instead. And then just in December, most of England went out and voted for the people who made all of the cuts. Out of all of your claims, blaming this on the 'scientific community' is the most absurd out of the lot.It's OK to blame the government, but why didn't our hospitals and PCTs have their own plans? As above, they did have their own plans. They didn't have the resources to carry those plans out. Can you catch it from a passing cyclist? They can't confirm either way. Yes you can - they've already said there is an increased risk from cycling or running behind people and that you need to ensure there is extra distance between people cycling or running. Why did hospitals kick people out to care homes without testing them? The government didn't tell them to do this and it is possibly the most catastrophic mistake made so far. Again, government advice stated that it was 'very unlikely' that people in care homes would catch the virus. Further to this government advice also urged care homes to accept patients from hospitals if they were asymptomatic, WITHOUT A TEST.
I understand that they're being guarded and don't want to talk in absolutes, but some of it is beyond absurd now. There's enough information to say that children are safe but they won't stick their necks out and say it (again because you can't prove it, and never will be able to). Pretty much all of your complaints are having a go at them for not talking in absolutes. They're scientists, not mathematicians - it's rare for science to be absolute. Yes the government has a lot to answer for. But also the scientific and medical communities are big boys and should be capable of taking the initiative without being told by governments. Did you vote Tory? Seems to me like this whole post was a guilt-ridden attempt to pass the blame onto people you didn't vote for.
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May 30, 2020 13:50:32 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 13:50:32 GMT
Thank you for that. But I see the word estimated again. From past experience estimates are never very accurate. I have seen them go either way. With all the facts and figures we in construction called them guesstimates.
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May 30, 2020 14:23:02 GMT
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Post by scotty on May 30, 2020 14:23:02 GMT
"Did you vote Tory? Seems to me like this whole post was a guilt-ridden attempt to pass the blame onto people you didn't vote for."
Absolutely ridiculous. Up to this point you made some points worthy of debate then you come out with this nonsense.
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May 30, 2020 14:31:22 GMT
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Post by Firestick Frank on May 30, 2020 14:31:22 GMT
"Did you vote Tory? Seems to me like this whole post was a guilt-ridden attempt to pass the blame onto people you didn't vote for." Absolutely ridiculous. Up to this point you made some points worthy of debate then you come out with this nonsense. He answered all of your other points though.
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Post by thestanchion on May 30, 2020 14:34:01 GMT
Thank you for that. But I see the word estimated again. From past experience estimates are never very accurate. I have seen them go either way. With all the facts and figures we in construction called them guesstimates. Of course they are described as estimates because it is impossible to arrive at an exact figure. But the same is true of all the other countries we are being compared to. So to misuse a football phrase, it all evens out over a season. To use another rather morbid one, only Peru are above us in the global league of additional deaths. I really don't see how anyone can not regard this as indefensible and incompetent governance.
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May 30, 2020 14:44:17 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 14:44:17 GMT
Let's take that as a given yes. But do opinions have to have fictitious information in them.
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May 30, 2020 14:54:42 GMT
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Post by scotty on May 30, 2020 14:54:42 GMT
"Did you vote Tory? Seems to me like this whole post was a guilt-ridden attempt to pass the blame onto people you didn't vote for." Absolutely ridiculous. Up to this point you made some points worthy of debate then you come out with this nonsense. He answered all of your other points though. He did provide answers - doesn't mean they're right answers. A quick Google search of 'can you catch covid twice?' shows that he's answered the first question incorrectly. I wonder if it's possible to have a debate nowadays without some ad hominem finger pointing.
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Post by delamereal on May 30, 2020 15:03:53 GMT
This would represent an average of 54,000 new infections per week for people living in private-residential households in the community in England since the study began, which was early April I believe. This does not mean there were 54000 last week but averaged over every week . Don't just pick one line from a report to suit what you are saying
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May 30, 2020 15:18:04 GMT
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Post by Ian H Block on May 30, 2020 15:18:04 GMT
Let's take that as a given yes. But do opinions have to have fictitious information in them. What fictitious information?
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May 30, 2020 15:25:10 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 15:25:10 GMT
Post not to you. The scientists do as they are told
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May 30, 2020 15:51:30 GMT
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Post by Lobster on May 30, 2020 15:51:30 GMT
Professor Van-Tam 👍👏
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Post by Deva Chanter on May 30, 2020 16:08:30 GMT
He answered all of your other points though. He did provide answers - doesn't mean they're right answers. A quick Google search of 'can you catch covid twice?' shows that he's answered the first question incorrectly. I wonder if it's possible to have a debate nowadays without some ad hominem finger pointing. Admittedly, it's rare but there are numerous examples of re-infection, so you can, in theory, catch it twiceAlso, apologies if you didn't vote Tory, it's just that all of the people I know who are absolutely intent on blaming someone other than the government, whether it be the public, the media or the scientists, all voted the same way. Understandable really, I wouldn't want this shitshow and level of death on my conscience.
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Post by Lobster on May 30, 2020 16:14:54 GMT
This would represent an average of 54,000 new infections per week for people living in private-residential households in the community in England since the study began, which was early April I believe. This does not mean there were 54000 last week but averaged over every week . Don't just pick one line from a report to suit what you are saying The figures are an estimate based on tests carried out between May 11 and May 24. I'll concede I mistakenly implied they were bang up to date (I initially got them from the same article Deva Chanter links to that says there are "currently 8,000 cases per day in England alone"). But unless numbers dropped dramatically in the last week, we're still 7 or 8 times above April 23 estimates, so again I question on what basis is lockdown being eased?
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Post by Wortleyblue on May 30, 2020 18:18:27 GMT
This would represent an average of 54,000 new infections per week for people living in private-residential households in the community in England since the study began, which was early April I believe. This does not mean there were 54000 last week but averaged over every week . Don't just pick one line from a report to suit what you are saying The figures are an estimate based on tests carried out between May 11 and May 24. I'll concede I mistakenly implied they were bang up to date (I initially got them from the same article Deva Chanter links to that says there are "currently 8,000 cases per day in England alone"). But unless numbers dropped dramatically in the last week, we're still 7 or 8 times above April 23 estimates, so again I question on what basis is lockdown being eased? Obviously, the basis of why the lockdown is being eased is mainly financial this virus has pushed the country's debt to £2trillion which will no doubt lead to austerity and probably a big recession which of course Labour will then blame the government for not easing lockdown sooner you are damned if you do you are damned if you don't.
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Post by Lobster on May 30, 2020 18:29:30 GMT
The figures are an estimate based on tests carried out between May 11 and May 24. I'll concede I mistakenly implied they were bang up to date (I initially got them from the same article Deva Chanter links to that says there are "currently 8,000 cases per day in England alone"). But unless numbers dropped dramatically in the last week, we're still 7 or 8 times above April 23 estimates, so again I question on what basis is lockdown being eased? Obviously, the basis of why the lockdown is being eased is mainly financial this virus has pushed the country's debt to £2trillion which will no doubt lead to austerity and probably a big recession which of course Labour will then blame the government for not easing lockdown sooner you are damned if you do you are damned if you don't. The economy is buggered. I'm past caring about that. Seems to me the sensible thing to do after this would be for the world to reassess the economy once this has all died down and ensure the vulnerable don't suffer the most. I won't hold my breath though.
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May 30, 2020 18:48:55 GMT
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Post by Firestick Frank on May 30, 2020 18:48:55 GMT
Imagine putting the bank balances of billionaires ahead of the health of your people.
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Post by Deva Chanter on May 30, 2020 20:15:03 GMT
The funny thing is, the handling of this virus isn't even a left-right thing. The Greek government is about as right-wing and committed to neoliberalism as our Tory party and yet they were sensible enough to know that you lockdown early and you do it hard. The results speak for themselves. Anyone still defending this government at this point is just the very weirdest kind of bootlicker.
If it is supposedly a financial decision to ease the lockdown stupidly early, then what happens when the second wave comes in three weeks time? Do we press reset and lockdown again? Another 3 months of pain for 3 weeks of an opened economy? Or just let it rip through society because we're all so desperate for HR managers and hedge funders to get back to work? Which is it lads?
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May 30, 2020 20:24:52 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 20:24:52 GMT
i dont doubt it's early but you do realise greece is made up of more than 6000 islands the population is pretty well spread out
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Post by Deva Chanter on May 30, 2020 20:28:46 GMT
i dont doubt it's early but you do realise greece is made up of more than 6000 islands the population is pretty well spread out Oh, I see we're pulling out the classic population density myth. For clarity, Athens is more densely populated than London. So is Thessaloniki.
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May 30, 2020 20:40:24 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 20:40:24 GMT
facts 27 islands are populated no city in greece has 1 million people living there.population is 227 per square mile .surely if these islands are only accesable by sea it will be easier to shut down .not defending any one .surely you can't compare like for like
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May 30, 2020 20:42:42 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 20:42:42 GMT
the whole of greece does not have as many people as live in london.
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May 30, 2020 20:57:01 GMT
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Post by Firestick Frank on May 30, 2020 20:57:01 GMT
What about China? Pretty sure their population might be a little bit more than ours? Russia too?
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May 30, 2020 21:08:20 GMT
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Post by Deleted on May 30, 2020 21:08:20 GMT
yes they do.but what is the use of spouting wrong information as fact.compare uk with germany.that will add something to the debate.but to say athens is more densely populated than london is rubbish london has 10 million in a sq mile. greece has 10 million in the whole country
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Post by Ian H Block on May 30, 2020 21:36:10 GMT
yes they do.but what is the use of spouting wrong information as fact.compare uk with germany.that will add something to the debate.but to say athens is more densely populated than london is rubbish london has 10 million in a sq mile. greece has 10 million in the whole country Pretty sure London is bigger than a square mile, fella. Fact check malfunction.
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May 30, 2020 21:41:42 GMT
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Post by Ian H Block on May 30, 2020 21:41:42 GMT
Still laughing at the London density post. Absolute classic, gotta do a screen grab before he deletes it.
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May 30, 2020 22:29:02 GMT
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Post by Firestick Frank on May 30, 2020 22:29:02 GMT
yes they do.but what is the use of spouting wrong information as fact.compare uk with germany.that will add something to the debate.but to say athens is more densely populated than london is rubbish london has 10 million in a sq mile. greece has 10 million in the whole country Greater London is 607 square miles. Do you seriously think there are 10 MILLION people per square mile in London? 10 million times 607 - I can’t even quantify how many people that is. Suppose you think they’re all foreigners - and some say Labour voters are brainwashed!
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